Andorra CF vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andorra CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
REN
1 - 1
AND
23%
24%
52%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
AND
6 - 1
CAS
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
BAR
2 - 1
AND
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
AND
2 - 0
BIN
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
TER
2 - 1
AND
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
NUM
1 - 0
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
HUE
3 - 0
NUM
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
REN
0 - 1
NUM
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NUM
3 - 1
CAS
92%
6%
2%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
BAR
5 - 0
NUM
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |