UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 4-1
Anderlecht vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 1
ANT
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 2
RAP
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
RAP
0 - 0
AND
32%
26%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
KSK
3 - 0
AND
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
AND
1 - 0
RAA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
POL
0 - 2
WIS
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
OMO
2 - 2
WIS
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
WIS
5 - 2
OMO
51%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
LPO
2 - 4
WIS
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
WIS
1 - 0
WLO
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |