Belgian Pro League Championship Final
Global 1-2
Anderlecht vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
GNK
0 - 2
AND
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AND
3 - 1
KSV
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TUB
1 - 1
AND
13%
22%
64%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AND
4 - 0
DEN
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
KVC
0 - 1
AND
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
GEN
0 - 1
SDL
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SDL
2 - 0
BRU
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ZUL
0 - 0
SDL
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SDL
4 - 1
KVM
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 3
SDL
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |