Ancona vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 0
ABN
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
ANC
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
TRI
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
SAS
1 - 0
ANC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 4
PIS
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 2
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
AVE
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |