Ancona vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 0
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANC
3 - 2
TAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ANC
1 - 1
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ARZ
0 - 2
ANC
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 0
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANC
3 - 2
TAR
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
TAR
3 - 0
ACS
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 0
TAR
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASL
47%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |