Ancona vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 0
ANC
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
ANC
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ANC
2 - 1
VIN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
ANC
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ANC
1 - 2
ACP
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CSP
2 - 1
VIN
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 0
CSP
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CSP
4 - 2
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +4 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CUO
2 - 1
CSP
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
CSP
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | +1 |