Ancona vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANC
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
TUT
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
4 - 0
PIA
53%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
SPA
52%
28%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
GRO
29%
28%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACP
37%
28%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
62%
22%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |