Ancona vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ACP
1 - 2
ANC
24%
28%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ANC
0 - 1
ASG
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
UCG
1 - 0
ANC
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ANC
1 - 2
CAV
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
ANC
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 0
CUO
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CSP
1 - 1
SPA
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 2
ASG
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 2
SPA
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SPA
3 - 1
MON
63%
22%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |