Ancona vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 1
ANC
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
0 - 1
MOD
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ANC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 3
ACD
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
0 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 3
GRO
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 0
SIE
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 2
OLB
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 2
MOD
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 2
SIE
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |