Ancona vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ANC
24%
27%
50%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 0
SAV
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ANC
29%
27%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANC
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SAN
44%
30%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
SIE
12%
22%
66%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |