Ancona vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 1
ANC
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANC
5 - 0
FID
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
ANC
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANC
4 - 3
TER
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 0
ANC
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
REC
0 - 3
OLY
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
JES
4 - 1
REC
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
REC
1 - 3
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
REC
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
REC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |