Ancona vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
REG
2 - 1
ANC
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ANC
1 - 1
SAV
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
AST
3 - 0
ANC
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANC
3 - 4
OLY
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
ANC
24%
25%
50%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 3
PON
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 1
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 2
PON
17%
23%
61%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |