Ancona vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
RAV
4 - 1
ANC
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ANC
0 - 1
RAV
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
USF
2 - 2
ANC
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
ANC
4 - 1
CAG
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
VER
2 - 1
NOC
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
NOC
2 - 2
VER
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
CAG
1 - 1
NOC
88%
10%
2%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
NOC
2 - 2
CAG
5%
14%
81%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 1
NOC
95%
5%
1%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |