Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ANC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 3
ACD
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
0 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 2
ANC
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 2
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIS
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 2
MOD
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 4
PIA
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 3
MOD
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |