Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VER
4 - 2
ANC
77%
14%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
BAR
48%
23%
30%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
USC
1 - 1
ANC
66%
18%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
VIC
43%
24%
34%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
REG
2 - 0
ANC
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAL
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MOD
6 - 0
SPE
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
VNZ
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SER
2 - 0
MOD
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |