Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
ANC
4 - 0
COM
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
REG
0 - 2
ANC
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 3
USF
47%
30%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
CAG
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 3
ANC
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
TOR
3 - 0
MES
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
39%
31%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |