Ancona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 0
PON
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 1
ANC
28%
22%
50%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 0
ANC
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 1
OLB
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PES
2 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 1
OLB
24%
25%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
ASL
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 0
ASL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |