Ancona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ACP
2 - 3
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 4
ASG
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 0
ANC
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TUT
0 - 2
ANC
20%
26%
55%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 0
TER
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASL
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 2
PIS
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
GRO
31%
27%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |