Ancona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
VIC
0 - 0
ANC
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
ASC
2 - 0
ANC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 2
COS
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
COM
1 - 3
ANC
29%
31%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
4 - 2
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
ASL
5 - 1
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
VER
1 - 1
ASL
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACI
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
UDI
0 - 0
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ASL
1 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |