Ancona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1994 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ANC
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
ASS
2 - 1
ANC
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
ANC
2 - 0
ASC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1993 |
AVE
2 - 2
ANC
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
PES
2 - 1
ANC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIO
20%
31%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 0
COS
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
FIA
1 - 1
ASL
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |