Ancona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 2
ANC
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
SSB
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
ANC
4 - 0
COM
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
REG
2 - 2
ASL
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ASL
1 - 0
UDI
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ASL
3 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
USF
4 - 1
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASL
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +8 |