Ancona vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 0
ANC
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ANC
13%
22%
65%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
ANC
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LOD
0 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
LOD
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LOD
2 - 1
FIA
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
LOD
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |