Ancona vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ANC
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 1
ANC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 0
LAQ
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
PIS
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PON
43%
28%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LAQ
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 0
LAQ
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |