Ancona vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
PIS
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 2
ANC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
ACP
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 1
ANC
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
GRO
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
LAQ
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 2
FOR
57%
25%
17%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIS
3 - 1
LAQ
25%
27%
47%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 3
LAQ
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |