Ancona vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
REG
3 - 1
ANC
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CES
2 - 0
ANC
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 2
IMO
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 4
ANC
13%
23%
64%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PES
2 - 1
FER
81%
13%
5%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
SIE
24%
25%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
2 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GRO
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |