Ancona vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis

Ancona Castelfidardo Calcio
57 ELO 52
-3.3% Tilt -3.7%
3460º General ELO ranking 4889º
111º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Ancona
21.7%
Draw
13.2%
Castelfidardo Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Ancona
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.2%
Win probability
Castelfidardo Calcio
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ancona
-33%
+42%
Castelfidardo Calcio

Points and table prediction

Ancona
Their league position
Castelfidardo Calcio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
12º
45
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sambenedettese
72
72
100%
L'Aquila
62
62
100%
Teramo
60
60
100%
Chieti
58
59
100%
FC Fossombrone
50
50
100%
Ancona
47
47
100%
Avezzano
46
46
100%
Castelfidardo Calcio
45
45
100%
ASD Atletico Ascoli
43
43
100%
Vigor Senigallia
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Termoli Calcio
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Sora
13º
40
40
12º
0%
Recanatese
12º
40
40
13º
0%
SN Notaresco 2018
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Civitanovese
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Roma City
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Isernia
17º
34
34
17º
100%
Fermana
18º
27
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ancona
Castelfidardo Calcio
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ancona
Castelfidardo Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ancona
Ancona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
BFM
FC Fossombrone
1 - 1
Ancona
ANC
34%
27%
39%
58 52 6 0
13 Apr. 2025
ANC
Ancona
3 - 1
SN Notaresco 2018
SAN
63%
22%
15%
58 49 9 0
06 Apr. 2025
RCF
Roma City
1 - 2
Ancona
ANC
29%
27%
45%
57 51 6 +1
30 Mar. 2025
ANC
Ancona
0 - 2
ASD Atletico Ascoli
ASD
56%
24%
20%
57 49 8 0
23 Mar. 2025
LAQ
L'Aquila
0 - 0
Ancona
ANC
43%
27%
30%
57 58 1 0

Matches

Castelfidardo Calcio
Castelfidardo Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
AVE
Avezzano
4 - 0
Castelfidardo Calcio
CAS
44%
29%
27%
51 52 1 0
13 Apr. 2025
CAS
Castelfidardo Calcio
0 - 0
Roma City
RCF
45%
27%
28%
51 51 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
BFM
FC Fossombrone
0 - 0
Castelfidardo Calcio
CAS
49%
27%
24%
51 52 1 0
30 Mar. 2025
CAS
Castelfidardo Calcio
3 - 1
L'Aquila
LAQ
33%
29%
38%
49 58 9 +2
23 Mar. 2025
SAN
SN Notaresco 2018
1 - 0
Castelfidardo Calcio
CAS
41%
28%
30%
49 49 0 0