Ancona vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 2
VIT
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 0
GRO
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLB
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
MOD
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASG
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
SIE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |