Ancona vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 0
ANC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
VIC
2 - 2
ANC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
CTT
0 - 1
FRO
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
CTT
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CTT
6 - 0
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 0
TRI
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 2
CTT
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |