Ancona vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ANC
0 - 3
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
ANC
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 2
EMP
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 3
ANC
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ABN
2 - 0
CTT
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 0
PIS
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CTT
4 - 0
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
CTT
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |