Ancona vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 2
SIE
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 2
ANC
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
LRO
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
ANC
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIS
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACP
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACP
2 - 4
CAR
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACP
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 0
TUT
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |