Ancona vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
ANC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 3
CTT
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 0
ANC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 2
MAN
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 3
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CTT
6 - 0
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |