Ancona vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
ANC
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ANC
0 - 1
AVE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EMP
1 - 3
ANC
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 2
LIV
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 1
ANC
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
PIS
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRO
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
RIM
1 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 3
PAR
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |