Ancona vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
0 - 3
PIS
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
OLB
1 - 2
ANC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
55%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PON
0 - 5
ANC
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CES
3 - 3
GRO
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CES
3 - 0
OLB
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CES
0 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |