Ancona vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 2
ANC
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
ANC
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ANC
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARZ
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SAV
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |