Ancienne Château-Gontier vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
50
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 0
ACG
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 2
SPG
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LPS
4 - 0
ACG
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ACG
0 - 1
CHA
6%
13%
81%
|
8 | 52 | 44 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FCE
3 - 2
ACG
55%
20%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
USS
2 - 0
NIO
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 2
USS
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
USS
4 - 1
LSD
54%
20%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SCB
2 - 2
USS
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
USS
4 - 2
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |