Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
27
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
ACG
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 2
LSD
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
ACG
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 0
ACG
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 0
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +4 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 0
NIO
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NIO
2 - 2
ASC
64%
18%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 2
NAN
24%
21%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 2
SNA
62%
18%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
NIO
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |