Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
50
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 0
FON
14%
20%
67%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
SNA
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 1
NAN
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
NAN
17%
19%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
LSD
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
SAB
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |