Ancienne Château-Gontier vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
31
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
3 - 1
ACG
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 2
NAN
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 0
FON
14%
20%
67%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | +5 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
SNA
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
NIO
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 2
SAB
37%
22%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LSD
2 - 2
ASC
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
NAN
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
ASC
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |