Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 3-1
Anápolis vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 0
ANA
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RDA
0 - 8
ANA
10%
22%
68%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
BRA
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
ANA
20%
27%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
LTD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 0
ANA
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
DEM
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 0
RES
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DEM
4 - 2
VIT
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |