Anadia vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
10º
8º
30
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ANA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 0
LUS
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 1
FAF
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 3
ESA
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
6 - 0
AMA
90%
8%
3%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
AMA
28%
27%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |