An Andalis vs Guadajoz C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
An Andalis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
4 - 0
ANA
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
6 - 1
ANA
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
PRI
15%
20%
65%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 0
ANA
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ANA
4 - 4
LIC
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guadajoz C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 0
ALC
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAZ
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
GUA
53%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAL
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PRI
4 - 1
GUA
27%
22%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |