Amurrio vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 2
CFP
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
OVI
0 - 0
AMU
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 2
AMU
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 0
ALF
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
RUN
1 - 1
AMU
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
OVI
3 - 1
GIN
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
OVI
0 - 0
AMU
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LEA
0 - 2
OVI
15%
24%
61%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
OVI
1 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
AST
2 - 1
OVI
16%
25%
59%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |