Amurrio vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
SFC
3 - 1
AMU
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AMU
1 - 1
SES
41%
27%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SNT
1 - 0
AMU
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AMU
1 - 0
ZAR
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AMU
3 - 0
LEI
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 3
GER
63%
22%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
ARE
53%
26%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |