Amurrio vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ORD
1 - 1
AMU
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
AMU
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AMU
0 - 1
SNT
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EIB
0 - 3
AMU
21%
27%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
AMU
2 - 0
ZAR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
SNT
58%
25%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EIB
1 - 1
GER
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAR
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CDU
0 - 1
GER
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
GER
1 - 1
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |