Amurrio vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 2
AMU
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
AMU
0 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GIM
1 - 0
AMU
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
ZAR
1 - 0
AMU
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
AMU
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
FIG
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ATH
3 - 0
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GER
1 - 2
OSA
49%
28%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
BAR
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CLU
0 - 0
GER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |