Amurrio vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
AMU
1 - 2
TUD
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
RUN
2 - 0
AMU
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
AMU
0 - 2
OSA
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
NUM
2 - 0
AMU
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
AMU
1 - 1
AVI
37%
29%
34%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
CDU
3 - 2
RUN
30%
29%
41%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
OSA
3 - 1
CDU
65%
23%
12%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
CDU
1 - 2
NUM
25%
29%
46%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
AVI
1 - 4
CDU
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CDU
2 - 2
CUL
46%
28%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |