Amurrio vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MKE
3 - 2
AMU
32%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AMU
2 - 1
ADC
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
2 - 6
AMU
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
IKE
0 - 1
AMU
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AMU
5 - 0
CDL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
ARI
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 0
CDS
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 0
ADC
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
5 - 3
ARI
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |