Amurrio vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
AMU
8%
17%
76%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 1
AMU
15%
19%
67%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AMU
4 - 2
CDS
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
DAC
1 - 0
AMU
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AMU
1 - 2
CSV
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
CDS
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 2
ARI
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 1
DAC
32%
22%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
ARI
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 1
ALE
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |