Amurrio vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CFR
0 - 4
AMU
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AMU
2 - 2
SDE
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
AMU
77%
16%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
AMU
0 - 1
PAS
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SFC
1 - 0
AMU
76%
17%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 0
IRU
33%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDS
2 - 2
ARI
24%
25%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARI
4 - 1
ZUI
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARI
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 1
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |