Amurrio vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SLV
1 - 4
AMU
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LON
0 - 2
AMU
34%
26%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AMU
1 - 2
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ELG
0 - 0
AMU
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AMU
3 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ATX
0 - 0
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ELG
3 - 1
ATX
61%
23%
17%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATX
1 - 0
ZAM
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
ATX
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ATX
1 - 2
CDU
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |